4/17/09
4/16/09
Global Weekly Perspective.. A cautionary note that:
SPX Melt up Rationale -
RSI is coiled, OBV downtrend breakout, Air gap from Q4 crash, High sustained STO, Positive trending MACD, Weekly RSI is only arounf 50 (more room), Stronger XLF and XLE and XLK. I still think we get back down close to or test 667 in a few weeks or months (2-3). So watch for reversals below the 21 EMA for a turn.
4/15/09
Looking at equal dollar 3 x pair trades as a position trade
For example when the XLF was at it's low around $6, the FAS was $3 and the FAZ was $115.
a 5K investment in each, a 10k total would have turned into about 20k last week when the XLF hit $11
Of course extreme price variances must exist, FAS is $7.60 and FAZ is $11.36 now, a bet the XLF goes above $15 or below $5 would pay off 30 to 50% by my calculations.
Another 3 x pricing variance might be SCO and UCO on the USO. Those are 2 x, but DXO and DTO might be another to pair now with DTO at $167 and DXO at 2.97
ERX ERY and BGU and BGZ, as well as TYH and TYP for the tech play.
Just a thought
a 5K investment in each, a 10k total would have turned into about 20k last week when the XLF hit $11
Of course extreme price variances must exist, FAS is $7.60 and FAZ is $11.36 now, a bet the XLF goes above $15 or below $5 would pay off 30 to 50% by my calculations.
Another 3 x pricing variance might be SCO and UCO on the USO. Those are 2 x, but DXO and DTO might be another to pair now with DTO at $167 and DXO at 2.97
ERX ERY and BGU and BGZ, as well as TYH and TYP for the tech play.
Just a thought
4/14/09
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