4/28/09

TLT (20 Yr Tbond) at the bottom channel. All hell could break loose if it goes below 100 (rates up)

Focus ETF's near downtrend lines...can they blow through?

IYR USO TNA (SPX) XLF

XLF USO IYR updates



SPX near 11 AM

XLF recovers from - 5% FAS FAZ not acting 3x, more 2X here

SPX Island gap and gap reversal on Housing and consumer confidence reports

SPX 847 open 853 bounce...see if it holds

Key Day for Support Test

Banks under pressure on Gov't leaks about banks req new capital raises XLF 10.30 -4% at support premarket. USO -2% at same support that held Monday 27.50. SPX PM is -1.3% around 847 (SPY) and if opens here is near lower trend line (845) that must hold to stay bullish (or the topping process begins). IYR PM is above 30 support but broke the trend line Monday. SPX wedge trade for TZA is working PM. Like I said before maybe we get a rolling over top, but I think there will be a spike or Bull trap to finish this excellent rally off. we'll see how she trades today. $XAL is getting wacked on the Flu news and individual issues could be tradeables on more weakness.

4/27/09

SPX tight bouncy day -1% 857







Ranges for SPX USO XLF and IYT for Tuesday...

IYR REITs will be a focus - today -8% so URE -16% SRS +16%

Technical Indicators Scream Caution A huge array of charts I am following are signaling caution. Let's take a look at various Bullish Percent charts

Technical Indicators Scream Caution A huge array of charts I am following are signaling caution. Let's take a look at various Bullish Percent charts from MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

SPX hits lows of the day and now on a bounce 859 res here

SPX wedge break TZA play

USO 60 min top of the channel SPX stuck @ 868


ProShares Files For 3X Leverage On 94 New ETFs

ProShares Files For 3X Leverage On 94 New ETFs
Written by Murray Coleman
Wednesday, 22 April 2009 11:02



Despite warnings that speed can kill, another leading alternative exchange-traded funds sponsor is preparing to jump into the super-leveraged exchange-traded funds race.

ProShares is requesting that the Securities and Exchange Commission allow it to provide up to 300% leverage and 300% inverse exposure to 37 different indexes.

Although it's seeking so-called 3x approval for a list of some 94 new ETFs, it's highly unlikely the leading leveraged and inverse provider will launch all in the near future.

But even if only a handful on the new list are brought to market, the filing opens the door for ProShares to at least enter the most juiced-up leverage game in ETFs at the moment.

And that has proved to be quite a lucrative undertaking for the lone sponsor to make the leap from 200% coverage—the previous high among leveraged ETFs.

Rival Direxion upped the ante late last year by becoming the first to offer ETFs that aim at taking 300% leverage and inverse positions. (See story here.)

USO update 27.77 res held into support again

SPX 7 points from 878 rally high -

Melt up Update - STO dip now trying to get back above 80 . Model works if it can


SCO out $33.96.. USO holding 27.50 for now

DOW down 70 and bounces on stories- Fed buy T's, Plane in NYC then Plane is a test..cripe - MORNING!!


SPX has the Flu 856 support holds here, XLF holds trend line down 2% USO gaps down 6% and on a bounce




4/24/09



I am thinking we will have a top in place next week or so 950 max based on the weekly RSI...Be careful when it turns

2002 - 2003 bottom is a good reference for the top not the bottom (yet). 950 max on price as the RSI could peak around 55 or 60. We were basically unchanged on the week.

Well that was a huge sell program at the close SPX XLF USO ranges for Monday



RPT SONS CBRX up huge today from Estimators box on the left..nice work!

XLF 0.15 from new rally high...SQUEEEEEEZE!

SPX looking technically weak with 30 min to go

Commodity returns!...watch MOO


Higer lows...higher high soon?

XLF 2% from rally high...expect screaming sounds as shorts are crushed

Don't forget that if XLF goes up 33% on the Stress test news today, FAZ goes to ZERO

XLF 3% from it's rally high $11 plus after a quick dip

SPX 10 pts off the high ....on pullback

Position trade SCO at 31.4

SPX XLF USO 15 min charts slow and easy is bullish




SPX 864..shortable spike soon?

XLF getting messy but 10.82 was a wall, red on the day hummm