12/12/08

Enjoy your weekend



NAZ +2.2% DOW +64 SPX 879 +6 or +.7%

Buy the Open was the trade. Watch for GM news over the weekend.

So we had a 5% reversal day today, hardly insignificant

Market back at Highs of day


the Monday gap is proving to be res, but the chart looks higher to me with one hour to go

More Downside?

869 trend line has been broken

Markets go green


back to gap res and showing signs of selling

Good time for the direction of the day


watching the MACD and trend lines

Watch 11:00 AM

GM back to unchanged


on White House possibility of using TARP and OBama rama asking Bush to fund the bailout

This is why I am trading indexes

GM +30 % off lows 4.09

Naz Green


SPX Futures were down below 840 this morning...SPX now -8 at 865 just under the channel

Support


SPX 810 and 780 are freefall drop support today

GM 3.02 -27% on failed bailout

This dip may be a gift, we'll have to see how we trade today

Consider this a test of 740 lows for now

12/11/08

Big 2% After hours drop tonight

Yikes

874 Close on the SPX -2.9%


Ranges for Friday

868 was the dip

873 now back into the channel

Buy the Bottom of the Channel?



It's there...long with a tight stop on a dip below the line is what I am thinking

SPX Monday Gap now filled

Into Gap


DOW -160

At 885 support on SPX

Looking for gap fill at 878 then we see which way she wants to go. DOW -100

USO up 11% $40 off $32 ish low



Long Oil and short financial maybe the pairs trade XLF -3.6%

SPX at the top of the wedge / channel but the STO is too high for anything big to happen on the upside so far....

Citigroup, UBS buying back $30B in securities


THIS IS WHERE OUR BAILOUT $ IS GOING TO...PEOPLE THAT MADE BAD INVESTMENT CHOICES...EVEN THOUGH THEY DID GET SCREWED AND LIED TO:

Citigroup, UBS buying back $30B in securities

WASHINGTON – Citigroup Inc. and UBS AG on Thursday agreed to buy back a total of nearly $30 billion in risky auction-rate securities that federal regulators said the banks marketed to customers as safe.

The Securities and Exchange Commission formally approved the settlements with the two banking giants following preliminary deals that were reached in August.

Tens of thousands of the banks' customers bought the auction-rate securities before the $330 billion market for them froze in mid-February, the SEC said in announcing the final accords.

The new settlements were the largest return of customer money in the agency's history and all the investors will be made whole, SEC Chairman Christopher Cox said in a statement.

The SEC's "prompt action after the auction-rate securities market froze ... which led to last summer's settlements in principle, helped restore liquidity to tens of thousands of investors," Cox said.

Citigroup and Switzerland's UBS neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing under the settlements. New York-based Citigroup agreed to buy back about $7 billion in the securities from affected customers, while UBS's repurchase totaled $22.7 billion.

The settlements are subject to federal court approval. The two banks also agreed to refrain from future violations of securities laws.

"Today is an important procedural step in the ongoing process of resolving this matter," Citigroup spokesman Alexander Samuelson said in an e-mailed statement. "We have already purchased substantial amounts of auction-rate securities from our clients."

Citigroup agreed to pay $100 million in civil fines as part of its earlier settlement with state regulators.

Spokesmen at UBS' New York offices didn't immediately return a telephone call seeking comment.

Following a wide-ranging investigation, the SEC, New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo and a group representing other state regulators have reached similar settlements over auction-rate securities with at least nine other big investment banks — which together have agreed to buy back a total of more than $50 billion of the securities. The regulators have alleged the banks misled customers into believing that auction-rate securities were safe, cash-like investments.

The auction-rate securities market involves investors buying and selling instruments that resemble corporate debt, except the interest rates are reset at regular auctions, some as often as once a week. A number of companies invested in the securities because they could treat their holdings almost like cash.

Tens of thousands of investors nationwide — including cities and towns, charities and small businesses — were left holding damaged securities that couldn't be readily sold for cash once the market for auction-rate securities collapsed in February, regulators said.

Settlements calling for buybacks of auction-rate securities also have been reached with Bank of America Corp., RBC Capital Markets Corp., Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Wachovia Corp., Merrill Lynch & Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse Group and Wachovia Corp.

The SEC's enforcement director, Linda Thomsen, said Thursday the agency will continue to investigate whether other firms failed to disclose the significant risks of auction-rate securities to investors.

Channel tests


Open tested the lower channel now at the top channel

IMO, watch Oil and XLE which have allowed the market to stay higher from Monday

XLE 41 to 50 today. If it falls apart so will the market. If it stays strong the bull case stays intact

12/10/08

900 close


Ranges for Thursday...

XLE +5% today helped keep things positive

Note XLF XLE XLK ITB all are up over 50% in the last 2 weeks...we are lucky to get a breather vs a sharp correction.

895 might get an End of Day run going

Slow Mo


885 double bottom is in on the 15 min chart but we have still broken a little wedge and the Monday Gap is 880 still not filled 893 now... ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

I hope 2009 isn't boring, may have to settle for trading much much smaller moves

Breakdown set up DOW +52

2nd try at the trend line

Is It Just Me?


Or is the volitility lessening the last few days...

Tiny spike

But bigger reverse... DOW +80

SPX 906


May get a spike soon and then reverse. Just thinking out loud

Good Follow through


Need 907 or higher on the SPX soon DOW +145 SPX 903

Open fades DOW +54

Morning, XLE USO +3% DOW +107 SPX +12 or 1.3%


Got a trend break possible with another a little higher up...breakdown at 885 on the SPX if it reverses.. watching MACD to cross to commit

12/9/08

3% pullback Today



Ranges on the SPX at the close.

Would have been nice to fill the Monday gap today, but hey, there is always Wednesday

SPX 880 would be a gap filler 887 now -22 or 2.5%

Dow -220


SPX breaks neck line and at trend line...

SPX Head & Shoulders set up


and a trend line could breakdown

SPX Daily


Broken out.. IMO stay long until the trend line gets broken

Mixed Open


XLE strong +3% SPX DOW down to Flat and the NAZ is up 1%

Overbought Monday may allow a sideways trade + or - 3% (lol) for the next couple of days

SPX ranges this morning on the 15 min chart

12/8/08

Travelling Today

15 min into the day looks great... little overbought but buying dips might work today

DOW +260 S&P +30

Thinking this rally from 740 on the S&P could run to 950 to 1000, maybe 1050....we'll see

Later All